Section A - WORLD

Section B - USA
Section C - Europe
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Section A - WORLD  
page World
Main trends 4
General demography  
Peaking population in different world regions 6
Clusters of growth 7
Changes in the number of young people 8
Consequences of the demographic transition 8-9
High growth areas 10
Africa and South West Asia 11
Share of people aged 65 and over 12
Ageing societies and pension sustainability 13
Towards the end of the demographic dividend 14
Ageing and health 15
Working age demography  
The working age population: changing patterns 16-17
Globalisation, knowledge-based society and the paradox of numbers 18
The dipping countries 19
Territorial polarisation 19
Ageing labour force 20-21
Age, qualification and competence 20
Ageing workforce and economic reorganisation 22
Ageing workers and flexible labour markets 23
Employment above the age of 64 23
Paths for labour shortages 24
Replacement of the working age population 25
Activity rates 26-27
Educational demography  
Young people joining in 28-29
Secondary education 30-31
Tertiary education 32-33
Reallocation of the workforce and relocation of activities  
Reallocation of the labour force 34
The case of China 34
Agriculture, manufacturing and services 35
Migration  
Main trends in North America 36
Net migration rates 37
The case of European Mediterranean countries 38
Non-nationals in European countries 1 39
Migration to Germany, France and UK 40
Non-nationals in European countries 2 41
Small open European countries 42
Non-nationals in European countries 3 43
Central and Eastern Europe 44
Immigration and qualification 45
Potential emigration 45
The intra-EU mobility 46-47
Immigration to fuel employment growth 48-49
Groups of countries 50

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Section B: USA
Main trends                    
Territorial level
Map Title Year Age group State-level MSA County
Geolabour Projection USCB Geolabour Projection Geolabour Projection
Map Page Map Page Map Page Map Page
General demographics                    
US 1 Population density 2000 0-99             1 9
US 2 Population index (index 100 = 2000) 2010 0-99 2 a1 10 2 a3 10 2 b1 11 2 c1 12
    2020 0-99 2 a2 10 2 a4 10 2 b2 11 2 c2 13
US 3 Change due to inward and outward mobility 2000-15 0-99 3 a 14     3 b 15 3 d 17
  2000-15 20-29         3 c1 16  
  2000-15 30-39         3 c2 16  
    2000-15 60-69         3 c3 16    
US 4 Share of people who moved in:                    
  from the same county 1995-2000 5+     4 a1 18     4 b 19
  from the same State (different county) 1995-2000 5+     4 a2 18     4 c 20
  from a different State 1995-2000 5+     4 a3 18     4 d 21
  from abroad 1995-2000 5+     4 a4 18     4 e 22
US 5 Share of races & origins: White non-Hispanic 2000 0-99     5 a1 24     5 b 25
  Black non-Hispanic 2000 0-99     5 a2 24     5 c 26
  Asian Non-Hispanic 2000 0-99     5 a3 24     5 d 27
  Hispanic and Latino 2000 0-99     5 a4 24     5 e 28
US 6 Share of European ancestries:                    
  German and Austrian 2000 0-99     6 a1 29     6 b 31
  British 2000 0-99     6 a2 29     6 c 32
  Irish 2000 0-99     6 a3 29     6 d 33
  Scandinavian 2000 0-99     6 a4 29     6 e 34
  Italian 2000 0-99     6 a5 30     6 f 35
  French and French Canadian 2000 0-99     6 a6 30     6 g 36
  Dutch 2000 0-99     6 a7 30     6 h 37
  EastEuropean 2000 0-99     6 a8 30     6 i 38
US 7 Total fertility rate 1995-2000       7 a 40 7 b 40 7 c 41
US 8 Index of age group 65+ (index 100 = 2000) 2010 65+ 8 a1 42 8 a3 42 8 b1 43 8 c1 44
    2020 65+ 8 a2 42 8 a4 42 8 b2 43 8 c2 45
US 9 Share of age group 65+ in the population 2000 65+             9 c1 46
    2020 65+             9 c2 47
US 10 Share of age group 80+ in the population 2000 80+             10 48
Working age demographics (WAP = Working age population)
  Declining and ageing labour force                
US 11 Decennial growth of the age group 15-24 2000-10 15-24 11 a1 50 11 a3 50 11 b1 52 11 c2 54
  2010-20 15-24 11 a2 50 11 a4 50 11 b2 52 11 c3 55
  Index of the age group 15-24 2020 15-24 11 a5 51 11 a6 51 11 b3 52 11 c1 53
US 12 Decennial growth of the WAP 2000-10 15-64 12 a1 56 12 a3 56 12 b1 58 12 c2 59
  2010-20 15-64 12 a2 56 12 a4 56 12 b2 58 12 c3 60
  Index of the working age population 2020 15-64 12 a5 57 12 a6 57 12 b3 58 12 c1 61
US 13 Index of replacement of the WAP 2000 15-24/55-64     13 a1 62 13 b1 63 13 c1 64
  2010 15-24/55-64 13 a2 62 13 a4 62 13 b2 63 13 c2 65
    2020 15-24/55-64 13 a3 62 13 a5 62 13 b3 63 13 c3 66
US 14 Index of working age ageing 2000 45-64/15-64     14 a1 68 14 b1 69 14 c1 70
  2010 45-64/15-64 14 a2 68 14 a4 68 14 b2 69 14 c2 71
    2020 45-64/15-64 14 a3 68 14 a5 68 14 b3 69 14 c3 73
Educational demographics                    
US 15 Share of "Less than High School" 2000 25-64     15 a1 74 15 b1 74 15 c1 76
  2000 25-34     15 a2 75 15 b2 75 15 c2 77
US 16 Share of "High School, some Coll.(no degree)" 2000 25-64     16 a1 78 16 b1 78 16 c1 80
  2000 25-34     16 a2 79 16 b2 79 16 c2 81
US 17 Share of "Less than Bachelor's degree" 2000 25-64     17 a1 82 17 b1 82 17 c1 84
  2000 25-34     17 a2 83 17 b2 83 17 c2 85
US 18 Share of "College graduates" 2000 25-64     18 a1 86 18 b1 86 18 c1 88
    2000 25-34     18 a2 87 18 b2 87 18 c2 89
  Generational progression in educational levels                  
US 19 Less than High School 2000 25-44 vs 45-64     19 a 90 19 b 90 19 c 91
US 20 High School, some College (no degree) 2000 25-44 vs 45-64     20 a 92 20 b 92 20 c 93
US 21 Degree less than Bachelor's degree 2000 25-44 vs 45-64     21 a 94 21 b 94 21 c 95
US 22 College Graduates 2000 25-44 vs 45-64     22 a 96 22 b 96 22 c 97
US 23 Female share in Less than High School 2000 25-64     23 a1 98 23 b1 98 23 c1 100
  2020 25-64 23 a2 99     23 b2 99 23 c2 101
US 24 High School, some College (no degree) 2000 25-64     24 a 102 24 b 102 24 c 103
US 25 Degree less than Bachelor's degree 2000 25-64     25 a 104 25 b 104 25 c 105
US 26 College graduates 2000 25-64     26 a1 106 26 b1 106 26 c1 108
    2020 25-64 26 a2 107     26 b2 107 26 c2 109
  Index of population per educational level                    
US 27 Less than High School 2010 25-64 27 a1 110     27 b1 111 27 c1 112
  2020 25-64 27 a2 110     27 b2 111 27 c2 113
US 28 High School, some College (no degree) 2010 25-64 28 a1 114     28 b1 115 28 c1 116
  2020 25-64 28 a2 114     28 b2 115 28 c2 117
US 29 Degree less than Bachelor's degree 2010 25-64 29 a1 118     29 b1 119 29 c1 120
  2020 25-64 29 a2 118     29 b2 119 29 c2 121
US 30 College Graduates 2010 25-64 30 a1 122     30 b1 123 30 c1 124
    2020 25-64 30 a2 122     30 b2 123 30 c2 125
  Index of age group 25-34 per educational level                  
US 31 Less than High School 2010 25-34 31 a1 126     31 b1 127 31 c1 128
  2020 25-34 31 a2 126     31 b2 127 31 c2 129
US 32 High School, some College (no degree) 2010 25-34 32 a1 130     32 b1 131 32 c1 132
  2020 25-34 32 a2 130     32 b2 131 32 c2 133
US 33 Degree less than Bachelor's degree 2010 25-34 33 a1 134     33 b1 135 33 c1 136
  2020 25-34 33 a2 134     33 b2 135 33 c2 137
US 34 College Graduates 2010 25-34 34 a1 138     34 b1 139 34 c1 140
    2020 25-34 34 a2 138     34 b2 139 34 c2 141
Labour Force demographics                  
US 35 Employment rates Total (M+F) 2000 16-64     35-1a 142 35-1b 142 35-1c 143
  Males 2000 16-64     35-2a 144 35-2b 144 35-2c 146
  Females 2000 16-64     35-3a 145 35-3b 145 35-3c 147
US 36 Employment rates Total (M+F) 2000 55-64     36-1a 148 36-1b 148 36-1c 149
  Males 2000 55-64     36-2a 150 36-2b 150 36-2c 152
  Females 2000 55-64     36-3a 151 36-3b 151 36-3c 153
US 37-1 Unemployment rate (as % of Labour Force) 2000 16-64     37-1a 154 37-1b 154 37-1c 155
US 37-2 Young unemployment as % of age group 2000 16-24     37-2a 156 37-2b 156 37-2c 157
US 38 Index of potential employment 2010 25-64 38 a1 158     38 b1 159 38 c1 160
  2020 25-64 38 a2 158     38 b2 159 38 c2 161
US 39 2010 25-34 39 a1 162     39 b1 163 39 c1 164
  2020 25-34 39 a2 162     39 b2 163 39 c2 165
US 40 2010 35-54 40 a1 166     40 b1 167 40 c1 168
  2020 35-54 40 a2 166     40 b2 167 40 c2 169
US 41 2010 55-64 41 a1 170     41 b1 171 41 c1 172
    2020 55-64 41 a2 170     41 b2 171 41 c2 173
US 42 Index of potential Labour force 2010 25-64 42 a1 174     42 b1 175 42 c1 176
  2020 25-64 42 a2 174     42 b2 175 42 c2 177
US 43 2010 25-34 43 a1 178     43 b1 179 43 c1 180
  2020 25-34 43 a2 178     43 b2 179 43 c2 181
US 44 2010 55-64 44 a1 182     44 b1 183 44 c1 184
  2020 55-64 44 a2 182     44 b2 183 44 c2 185
US 45 Activity rate of the age group 65-74 2000 65-74     45 a 186 45 b 186 45 c 187
US 46 Index of potential Labour force 2010-20 65-74 46 a1 188     46 b1 189 46 c1 190
  2010-20 65-74 46 a2 188     46 b2 189 46 c2 191
US 47 % of 55-74 in the Labour force aged 16-74 2020 55-74 47 a 192     47 b 192 47 c 193

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Section C - EUROPE
page EU
Index 2-4
Main trends in Europe 5-6
Age group Year
Map 1 Cities and urban areas     2000 7
Map 2 GDP (PPS) per capita (2000)     2000 8
Map 3 Disposable income per capita (2000)     2000 9
The diversity of Europe: historic background       10
General demography        
Map 4 Year of maximum population 0-99     11
Map 5a Population Index in 2010 (index 100 = 2000) 0-99 2010 12
Map 5b Population Index in 2020 0-99   2020 13
Fertility rates       14
Map 6 Total Fertility Rate     1995-2000 15
Map 7a Share of age group 0-14 in the population 0-14   2000 16
Map 7b Index of age group 0-14 0-14 2020 17
Ageing Europe       18
Map 8 Share of age group 65 and over in the population 2000 19
Dependency ratio 65+/15-64 20
Eldercare - Ageing and Health cost       21
Working age demography        
Map 9 Year of Maximum Young 15-24 15-24     22
Map 10 Index of population aged 15-24 15-24 2020 23
Map 11a Decennial Growth of Young 15-24 15-24 2000-2010 24
Map 11b Decennial Growth of Young 15-24 15-24 2010-2020 25
Map 12 Year of Maximum Working Age Population 15-64     26
Map 13 Index of Working Age Population 15-64 2020 27
Map 14a Decennial Growth of Working Age Population 15-64 2000-2010 28
Map 14b Decennial Growth of Working Age Population 15-64   2010-2020 29
Map 15a Index of age group 55-64 55-64 2010 30
Map 15b Index of age group 55-64 55-64 2020 31
Map 16a Index of Replacement of the Working Age Population 15-24/55-64   2000 32
Map 16b Index of Replacement of the Working Age Population 15-24/55-65 2010 33
Map 16c Index of Replacement of the Working Age Population 15-24/55-66 2020 34
Replacement of the Working Age Population 15-24/55-66     35
Map 17a Index of ageing of Working Age Population 45-64/15-64   2000 36
Ageing of the Working Age Population 37
Map 17b Index of ageing of Working Age Population 45-64/15-64 2010 38
Map 17c Index of ageing of Working Age Population 45-64/15-64   2020 39
Mobility          
Map 18 a-b EU15 expatriates and New MS-nationals in the population 0-99   2003 40
Map 19 a-b CEEC's nationals in the population 0-99 2003 41
Map 20a Non-EU25 nationals in the population 0-99 2003 42
Map 20 b-f Non-EU nationals in the population (per nationality group) 0-99   2000-2003 43
Mobility 44
Map 21a 5-year Net Inter-regional Mobility rate of age group 15-24 15-24 1995-2000 45
Map 21b 5-year Net Inter-regional Mobility rate of age group 55-64 55-64 1995-2000 46
Map 21c 5-year Net Inter-regional Mobility rate of age group 15-64 15-64 1995-2000 47
Map 21d 5-year Leaving rate of population 15-64 1995-2000 48
Map 21e 5-year rate of arrival of population 15-64   1995-2000 49
Commuting 50
Map 22 a-b Shares of incoming and outgoing commuters 15-64 2000 51
Cross-boarder commuting in Europe 52
The case of Luxembourg       53
Educational demography        
Map 23a Share of the population with High Educ. 25-64   1999-2001 54
Population with Medium and High Education 55
Map 23b Share of the population with High Educ. 25-64 2010 56
Map 23c Share of the population with High Educ. 25-64   2020 57
Map 24a Share of the population with Medium Educ. 25-64   1999-2001 58
Map 24b Share of the population with Medium Educ. 25-64   2020 59
Map 25a Share of the population with Low Educ. 25-64   1999-2001 60
Population with Low Education 61
Map 25b Share of the population with Low Educ. 25-64 2010 62
Map 25c Share of the population with Low Educ. 25-64   2020 63
Map 26a Female Share in Tertiary attainment 25-64   1999-2001 64
Map 26b Female Share in Tertiary attainment 25-64   2020 65
Map 27a Share of the population with High Educ. 25-34   1999-2001 66
Younger generations with High Educ. - The north Italian enigma 67
Map 27b Share of the population with High Educ. 25-34 2010 68
Map 27c Share of the population with High Educ. 25-34   2020 69
Map 28a Share of the population with High Educ. - Female 25-34   1999-2001 70
Increased share of females in tertiary attainments 71
Map 28b Share of the population with High Educ. - Female 25-34 2010 72
Map 28c Share of the population with High Educ. - Female 25-34 2020 73
Map 29a Generational Progression in Low Educ. - Total 25-34vs55-64   1999-2001 74
Map 29c Generational Progression in Low Educ. - Female 25-34vs55-64 1999-2001 75
Generational Progression in education - Secondary and tertiary transition   76
Leapfrogging in Spanish style   77
Map 30a Generational Progression in Medium Educ. - Total 25-34vs55-64 1999-2001 78
Map 31a Generational Progression in High Educ. - Total 25-34vs55-64 1999-2001 79
Map 30b Generational Progression in Medium Educ. - H 25-34vs55-64 1999-2001 80
Map 30c Generational Progression in Medium Educ. - F 25-34vs55-64 1999-2001 81
Map 31b Generational Progression in High Educ. - H 25-34vs55-64 1999-2001 82
Map 31c Generational Progression in High Educ. - F 25-34vs55-64   1999-2001 83
Map 32a Annual Growth of the population with High Educ. 15-64   2000-2010 84
Map 32b Annual Growth of the population with High Educ. 15-64 2010-2020 85
Map 33a Annual Growth of the population with Medium Educ. 15-64 2000-2010 86
Map 33b Annual Growth of the population with Medium Educ. 15-64 2010-2020 87
Map 34a Annual Growth of the population with Low Educ. 15-64 2000-2010 88
Map 34b Annual Growth of the population with Low Educ. 15-64   2010-2020 89
Labour force and employment        
Map 35a Demographic effect on the Labour Force 15-64   2000-2010 90
Map 35b Demographic effect on the Labour Force 15-64 2010-2020 91
Demographic effect on the Labour Force 92
Educational effect on the Labour Force 93
Map 36a Educational effect on the Labour Force 15-64 2000-2010 94
Map 36b Educational effect on the Labour Force 15-64 2010-2020 95
Map 37a Decennial Growth of the Labour Force (Cnst behaviour) 15-64 2000-2010 96
Map 37b Decennial Growth of the Labour Force (Cnst behaviour) 15-64 2010-2020 97
Decennial growth of the Labour Force (Constant Behaviour Scenario) 98
Map 37c Index of the Labour Force (Cnst Behaviour) 15-64   2000-2020 99
Employment rate       100
Map 38a Employment rate - Total 15-64 2003 101
Map 38b Employment rate - Males 15-64 2003 102
Map 38c Employment rate - Females 15-64 2003 103
Employment rate in the 55-64 age group   104
Map 39a Employment rate 55-64 - Total 55-64 2003 105
Map 39b 1996-2003 Change in point of the employment rate 55-64 55-64 1996-2003 106
Map 40 Employment rate 15-24 - Total 15-24 2003 107
Employment rate per eucational level   108
Map 41a Employment rate - Low educ. 15-64 2003 109
Map 41b Employment rate - Medium educ. 15-64 2003 110
Map 41c Employment rate - High educ. 15-64 2003 111
Female participation in tertiary-level jobs   112
Map 42 Employment rate - High Educ - Males vs Females. 15-65   2003 113
Map 43 Unemployment rate 15-64   2003 114
Map 44 Unemployment rate - Female vs Male 15-64 2003 115
Young Unemployment 2003 116
Map 45 Young Unemployment (as % of Population) 15-24   2003 117
Employment growth - Transitions in CEECs         118
Map 46a Employment growth - Total 15-64 1996-2003 119
Map 46b Employment growth - Males 15-64 1996-2003 120
Map 46c Employment growth - Females 15-64 1996-2003 121
Map 47a Employment growth - Low educ. 15-64 1996-2003 122
Map 47b Employment growth - Medium educ. 15-64 1996-2003 123
Map 47c Employment growth - High Educ 15-64 1996-2003 124
Map 48 Supplementary growth of employment at tertiary level 15-64 1996-2003 125
Employment growth per educational level   126
Sector shifts and overall growth - The Myth of the "end of work"       127
Potential employment growth       128
Potential growth of employment and Productivity   129
Map 49a Potential annual growth of employment - Total 15-64 2003-2010 130
Map 49b Potential annual growth of employment - Total 15-64 2010-2020 131
Employment growth in the first and second decade - Immigration in Italy   132
Map 49c Potential annual growth of employment - Total 15-64 2003-2020 133
Map 50a Potential annual growth of employment - Low Educ. 15-64 2003-2010 134
Map 50b Potential annual growth of employment - Low Educ. 15-64 2010-2020 135
Potential growth of employment for the low-educated   136
Map 50c Potential annual growth of employment - Low Educ. 15-64 2003-2020 137
Map 51a Potential annual growth of employment - Medium Educ 15-64 2003-2010 138
Map 51b Potential annual growth of employment - Medium Educ 15-64 2010-2020 139
Potential growth of employment for the medium-educated   140
Map 51c Potential annual growth of employment - Medium Educ 15-64 2003-2020 141
Map 52a Potential annual growth of employment - High Educ. 15-64 2003-2010 142
Map 52b Potential annual growth of employment - High Educ. 15-64 2010-2020 143
Potential growth of employment for the tertiary-educated   144
Map 52c Potential annual growth of employment - High Educ. 15-64   2003-2020 145
Map 53a Potential annual growth of employment - Total 25-44   2003-2010 146
Map 53b Potential annual growth of employment - Total 25-44 2010-2020 147
Potential employment growth for younger generations - NAILS   148
Map 53c Potential annual growth of employment - Total 25-44 2003-2020 149
Map 54a Potential annual growth of employment - Low Educ. 25-44 2003-2010 150
Map 54b Potential annual growth of employment - Low Educ. 25-44 2010-2020 151
Employment for young low-educated   152
Map 54c